NPR just
published a study that demonstrates that the Republican Party is the most
conservative it has been for over 100 years. Because of that there seems to be little possibility of
compromise on large issues related to governance, e.g. the debt and the
possibility of raising additional revenue through increase in taxation among
the wealthy, immigration reform that provides the possibility for
naturalization for long term contributing residents, overcoming high medical
costs through a national insurance plan, increased investment in alternative
energy policies, reduced tax loop holes for agribusiness and oil companies,
reducing the influence of money in elections and lobbying, preserving the
programs of New Deal, War on Poverty, and Civil Rights.
If Obama
wins the presidential election, there will be more gridlock by Republicans who
have announced that their highest priority is to get rid of him, even over
solving problems for the nation.
(See Robert Draper book.)
It makes
me wonder if it would be better for the nation if Romney won. I won't vote for him because I refuse
to reward obstructionism. However,
I still wonder if a more centrist Romney (if he could swing back from his
stated "extreme conservatism") could get more done because he could corral
the conservative dogmatic true believers.
I look at
Nixon's China initiative. A
Democrat could not have done that because the Republicans had blocked all such
efforts as "being soft on communism." Nixon was also able to get the Environmental Protection Act
passed to create the agency that now rabid neo-conservatives want to destroy
and blame Democrats for. Reagan of
course was able to "quit and run" in Lebanon (something no Democrat
could have done for fear of being seen as weak). Reagan was also able to raise taxes, as was GHW Bush, and so
make possible the surpluses under Clinton. LBJ was able to overpower the conservative southern
Democrats to get the Civil Rights Bill passed as well as the War on
Poverty. I very much doubt if
conservative southern democrats would have let Kennedy do that. And as LBJ
predicted, it led to the demise of the Democratic Party in the South.
And yet
GW Bush, one of the beneficiaries of the Republican takeover of the
conservative South, led the country to its worse recession since the great
depression, to two wars, and to a huge deficit mainly by pushing the
"ownership society" and deregulation of the financial institutions
(started under Clinton); and, instead of raising revenues to pay for the wars and
other pet projects, he pushed through huge tax decreases for the wealthy. So instead of using his conservative
credentials to seek some balance, as did Nixon, Reagan, and his father before
him, he allowed neo-conservatives free reign to destroy the balance before him.
Once the
recession hit, Bush used the government, including the 700 billion TARP bailout
funds and the central bank, to spend huge amounts on saving financial
institutions and their insurers, but again without at all considering the
revenue side of the equation. Obama supported this policy to keep from another great depression, then,
once president, did push through some regulatory controls, and some investments
in old and new industry, but in general has been able to do little to change
fundamental inequitable structures as he had promised and we had hoped. Although he did do what was necessary
to keep the US from going into a 1930s level depression. In this atmosphere, when politicians
are more concerned with their outmoded beliefs and principles (especially
free-market fundamentalism) than the welfare of the nation, it seems unlikely
that much will change and more gridlock will occur. There seems to be no leadership strong enough to forge a
majoritarian strategy. I doubt
Obama can since that is not a priority of the so-called loyal opposition. It only takes 40% to block Senate
action.
But to
select Romney at this time I think would be penny-wise and pound-foolish. It might move to some compromise and
cooperation in the short term; but it would keep America on the path that has
led to the stark divisions in the US and to American decline. It is strange that as we departed from
our vacation in Belize, our driver to the airport saw it this way; but many
Americans, whose message has been framed by radio commentators and TV ads,
cannot. Republicans say we are waging "class war." Would that we were and the 99% could
see it!
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